Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 2.658754e-05 3.183904e-05 0.000038 0.000044 0.000052 0.000060 0.000069
2025-05-11 2.200394e-05 2.902168e-05 0.000037 0.000047 0.000059 0.000072 0.000088
2025-05-18 1.812398e-05 2.603636e-05 0.000036 0.000048 0.000063 0.000081 0.000104
2025-05-25 1.358450e-05 2.139176e-05 0.000031 0.000045 0.000063 0.000084 0.000111
2025-06-01 1.058294e-05 1.820761e-05 0.000029 0.000043 0.000063 0.000087 0.000119
2025-06-08 8.724658e-06 1.628441e-05 0.000027 0.000043 0.000065 0.000092 0.000129
2025-06-15 7.152589e-06 1.450931e-05 0.000026 0.000042 0.000066 0.000096 0.000138
2025-06-22 5.621715e-06 1.252040e-05 0.000023 0.000041 0.000065 0.000099 0.000144
2025-06-29 4.261440e-06 1.054609e-05 0.000021 0.000038 0.000064 0.000099 0.000148
2025-07-06 3.130256e-06 8.727757e-06 0.000019 0.000036 0.000062 0.000099 0.000151
2025-07-13 2.477981e-06 7.687497e-06 0.000018 0.000035 0.000062 0.000101 0.000158
2025-07-20 2.003336e-06 6.904587e-06 0.000017 0.000035 0.000063 0.000105 0.000165
2025-07-27 1.568390e-06 6.220032e-06 0.000016 0.000035 0.000066 0.000112 0.000180
2025-08-03 1.395955e-06 6.137650e-06 0.000017 0.000038 0.000072 0.000124 0.000203
2025-08-10 1.113302e-06 5.645269e-06 0.000016 0.000038 0.000076 0.000133 0.000220
2025-08-17 6.750779e-07 4.424507e-06 0.000014 0.000036 0.000074 0.000133 0.000225
2025-08-24 4.193566e-07 3.597828e-06 0.000013 0.000034 0.000074 0.000135 0.000233
2025-08-31 2.838272e-07 3.122124e-06 0.000012 0.000034 0.000075 0.000141 0.000246
2025-09-07 1.802902e-07 2.667056e-06 0.000012 0.000034 0.000076 0.000146 0.000258
2025-09-14 9.503394e-08 2.144394e-06 0.000010 0.000032 0.000075 0.000147 0.000265
2025-09-21 3.962930e-08 1.639942e-06 0.000009 0.000030 0.000074 0.000147 0.000270
2025-09-28 1.162117e-08 1.202066e-06 0.000008 0.000028 0.000071 0.000146 0.000273
2025-10-05 3.464398e-09 9.709432e-07 0.000007 0.000027 0.000071 0.000149 0.000282